Dylan Bundy (Orioles) vs. CLE, @TB
Bundy hasn’t been as good as the surface stats show, but he’s pitched well against good competition. He has faced Boston four times. In 12 of his 14 starts, he has allowed three earned runs or less. He has a 6.47 K/9, but a 10.4 percent swinging strike rate, so there could be more strikeouts ahead.
Gerrit Cole (Pirates) @MIL, @STL
Cole was pitching well before a horrible four-game stretch. He bounced back in his last outing, allowing one run in seven innings against the Rockies. Cole has allowed 15 home runs in 83.1 innings.
Sonny Gray (A’s) vs. HOU, @CWS
Gray has pitched better than the 4.44 ERA and 1.35 WHIP show. He has a 9.06 K/9, 2.91 BB/9, 53 percent ground ball rate and an 11.3 percent swinging strike rate. The Astros matchup is tough, but it’s at least in Oakland.
Robert Gsellman (Mets) @LAD, @SF
Gsellman pitched well in four straight starts before getting hit hard in his last start against the Nationals, one of the best offensive teams. The matchups aren’t as bad here.
Mike Leake (Cardinals) @PHI, vs. PIT
Leake is pitching well with a 3.14 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and is allowing little hard contact. The matchups are favorable.
Francisco Liriano (Blue Jays) @TEX, @KC
Liriano has been good since coming off the DL, pitching 17 innings, allowing 15 hits, seven runs, five walks and 19 strikeouts. He’s volatile and pitching in Texas can be tough.
Francis Martes (Astros) @OAK, @SEA
Martes had a 7.79 BB/9 at Triple-A, so there’s definite risk. In his first start of the season in the majors, he went five innings and allowed three hits, one earned run, two walks and struck out seven against the Rangers. He will get the offensive run support and has good matchups.
Brandon McCarthy (Dodgers) vs. NYM, vs. COL
McCarthy’s biggest problem is staying healthy, but when he’s on the mound, he’s good. He has a 3.14 ERA and 1.10 WHIP with a 23.6 percent hard hit rate.
Ariel Miranda (Mariners) vs. DET, vs. HOU
Miranda has a 2.14 ERA at home and has allowed three home runs in 42 innings. In 35.2 innings on the road, he has a 6.56 ERA and allowed 11 home runs. He has two starts at home, although they aren’t easy lineups.
Mike Montgomery (Cubs) vs. SD, @MIA
The first start of the week will be Montgomery’s third start of the season. He went five innings in his last start as he builds up the pitch count. He has two good matchups.
Jake Odorizzi (Rays) vs. CIN, vs. BAL
Odorizzi has a 3.77 ERA and 1.23 WHIP with a 7.98 K/9 and 3.05 BB/9. He has allowed 13 home runs but is better at home with a 3.11 ERA.
Brad Peacock (Astros) @OAK, @SEA
Peacock is making the transition from reliever to starter and hasn’t gone deep in games yet. He has a 36:12 K:BB ratio in 22.2 innings as a starter. In his five starts, he has passed five innings once.
Tanner Roark (Nationals) @MIA, vs. CIN
Roark hasn’t been as good as last season, but a lot of the peripherals are the same. He has a 28.1 percent hard hit rate. Two starts in which he allowed seven earned runs make the stats appear worse.
Julio Teheran (Braves) vs. SF, vs. MIL
Teheran has struggled at home with a 7.25 ERA compared to 2.89 on the road. Teheran pitched better in his last two starts at home and has allowed three earned runs or less in four of his last five starts.
Justin Verlander (Tigers) @SEA, @SD
Verlander hasn’t been the same pitcher as last season. The strikeouts are down, walks are up, and the hard contact is way up. The matchups are in his favor.
Zack Wheeler (Mets) @LAD, @SF
Wheeler has been solid but got crushed his last start against the Cubs. He allowed eight runs in 1.2 innings/
Andrew Cashner (Rangers) vs. TOR, @NYY
Cashner has pitched better than anyone has thought, but he’s been lucky. Cashner has allowed ten earned runs over his last 17 innings. He has a 33:31 K:BB ratio in 69.1 innings.
Zach Davies (Brewers) vs. PIT, @ATL
He has a 4.91 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. He has pitched five innings or fewer in nine of 14 starts.
R.A. Dickey (Braves) vs. SF, vs. MIL
He has a 5.35 ERA and 1.51 WHIP and has a .271 average against.
Scott Feldman (Reds) @TB, @WAS
Feldman hasn’t been bad, but the Nationals start could ruin the week.
Matt Garza (Brewers) vs. PIT, @ATL
Garza has been a surprise, but he has slowed down his last four starts, allowing 15 runs in 20 innings.
Sam Gaviglio (Mariners) vs. DET, vs. HOU
Gaviglio doesn’t throw hard, and while the ERA is 3.41, he has a 6.5 swinging strike percentage and has two tough matchups.
Daniel Gossett (A’s) vs. HOU, @CWS
Gossett got roughed up in his first start in a National League park in Miami.
Jason Hammel (Royals) vs. BOS, vs. TOR
Hammel has been better over his last three starts allowing five earned runs in 20.1 innings with a 15:1 K:BB ratio and one of the starts came against the Astros. Two tough matchups loom.
Jeremy Hellickson (Phillies) vs. STL, @ARI
Hellickson has a 34:23 K:BB ratio in 77 innings. He had a 7.04 ERA in May and 6.61 in June.
Derek Holland (White Sox) @MIN, vs. OAK
Holland has a 3.79 ERA but has a 1.45 WHIP, 1.71 HR/9 and a 38.8 percent hard hit rate.
Chad Kuhl (Pirates) @MIL, @STL
He has a 5.61 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP.
German Marquez (Rockies) vs. ARI, @LAD
He has a 5.70 ERA at home and a tough matchup on the road.
Matt Moore (Giants) @ATL, vs. NYM
Moore has been awful with a 6.00 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, and a 41.3 percent hard hit rate.
Clayton Richard (Padres) @CHC, vs. DET
Richard has pitched well at times, but these aren’t ideal matchups.
Chris Tillman (Orioles) vs. CLE, @TB
Tillman has been awful with an 8.07 ERA and 2.10 WHIP.
Josh Tomlin (Indians) @BAL, vs. MIN
Tomlin has a 5.83 ERA and 1.38 WHIP and is prone to home runs.
Hector Velazquez (Red Sox) @KC, vs. LAA
Velazquez takes the spot of the injured Brian Johnson and doesn’t throw hard.
Edinson Volquez (Marlins) vs. WAS, vs. CHC
Volquez struggled in his last start after going through a good stretch, including a no-hitter, but these are two tough offenses.
Vance Worley (Marlins) vs. WAS, vs. CHC
Worley is getting hit hard and gets a great offense in the Nationals and a Cubs offense that is getting hot.
Jordan Zimmermann (Tigers) @SEA, @SD
Zimmermann has a 5.35 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and a 2.02 HR/9.