Chase Anderson (Brewers) vs. SF, @ARI
Anderson has teased us many times and is coming off two excellent starts against the Diamondbacks and Mets, allowing four hits, four walks, and 18 strikeouts in 14 scoreless innings. He has a 3.30 ERA and 1.26 WHIP and has cut down on the home runs allowed. The Diamondbacks are tough on the road, but Anderson is a viable streamer.
Jake Arrieta (Cubs) vs. MIA, vs. COL
Arrieta has a 4.60 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP but has a 10.2 K/9 and a 2.44 BB/9. He has been hurt by a .337 BABIP and 1.58 HR/9. Arrieta is allowing a lot more contact than he did the past few seasons and while his velocity is down, he still has an 11.2 swinging strike percentage.
Jharel Cotton (A’s) vs. TOR, @TB
Cotton has been better in his two starts since he was called up from the minors. He still needs to cut down on the walks, and there’s risk with him. He has pitched 11.1 innings and allowed six hits, four earned runs, seven walks, and nine strikeouts against the Yankees and Indians on the road in the two starts.
Jaime Garcia (Braves) vs. PHI, vs. NYM
Garcia is coming off three excellent starts and gets a struggling Phillies offense. In that span, Garcia has pitched 21.2 innings and allowed 16 hits, one earned run, five walks, and 15 strikeouts. Garcia has been lucky, but he is inducing ground balls at a 57.1 percent rate and allowing a 26 percent hard hit rate.
Kevin Gausman (Orioles) vs. PIT, @NYY
Warning: Start Gausman at your own risk. He gets a favorable matchup with the Pirates, but the Yankees are a daunting task. Gausman has a 5.92 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP. He has been better his last three starts but is still allowing too many hits. In 18 innings, he has allowed 26 hits, six earned runs, six walks and 11 strikeouts.
Gio Gonzalez (Nationals) @LAD, vs. TEX
Gonzalez has not pitched as well as the surface stats indicate. He has a 3.03 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. He has a 4.61 BB/9 and a 1.32 HR/9. The Nationals offense can put him in a position to win.
Junior Guerra (Brewers) vs. SF, @ARI
Guerra has pitched 14.2 innings in his three starts and allowed eight hits, three earned runs, six walks and struck out 13. The start at Arizona is risky.
J.A. Happ (Blue Jays) @OAK, @SEA
Happ recently came off the DL and had only pitched four times. He gets two favorable matchups.
Dinelson Lamet (Padres) @ARI, vs. KC
Lamet has looked good in his first two major league starts with 16 strikeouts, three walks and three earned runs in 10 innings against the Mets and Cubs. There’s always a risk pitching in Arizona, but the Royals are a good matchup.
Aaron Nola (Phillies) @ATL, @STL
Nola had a good start when he came off the DL, but has struggled in the last two. He’s had some unfortunate luck with a .337 BABIP but has allowed a hard-hit rate of 24 percent.
Drew Pomeranz (Red Sox) @NYY, vs. DET
Pomeranz has been getting a lot of strikeouts but has been burned by home runs. He has a 4.24 ERA and 1.33 WHIP with a 64:17 K:BB ratio in 51 innings.
Jose Quintana (White Sox) @TB, @CLE
Quintana hasn’t been the same pitcher we saw the last few seasons. While his strikeouts are up, so are the walks and home runs. For the most part, he has struggled against the tough teams and pitched well against inferior opponents. The Indians game could be dicey.
Jeff Samardzija (Giants) @MIL, vs. MIN
Samardzija has pitched better than the 4.63 ERA shows. He has a 1.18 WHIP and an 84:11 K:BB ratio in 72 innings. In five of his last seven starts, he has allowed three earned runs or less.
Dan Straily (MIA) @CHC, @PIT
Straily has a 3.56 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and a 64:25 K:BB ratio in 60.2 innings.
Masahiro Tanaka (Yankees) vs. BOS, vs. BAL
This is a risk for sure, and I understand if you bench him. The splitter isn’t splitting, and when he misses his location, he’s getting hit hard. He has allowed 14 home runs in 61 innings, and it will continue to be a problem at Yankee Stadium.
Justin Verlander (Tigers) vs. LAA, @BOS
Verlander isn’t pitching as he did in the second half last season. The strikeouts are down, walks are up, and he’s getting hit harder. He has pitched well in two of his last three starts, and the Angels are an easy matchup without Mike Trout, and the Red Sox aren’t the potent offense they have been in recent seasons.
Adam Wainwright (Cardinals) @CIN, vs. PHI
Wainwright has turned things around in a big way. In his last four starts over 26.1 innings, he has allowed 16 hits, one earned run, ten walks and struck out 21.
Tim Adleman (Reds) vs.STL, @LAD
He is coming off two good starts, but he’s hard to trust. He has allowed eight home runs in 46 innings and has a 4.89 ERA.
Eddie Butler (Cubs) vs. MIA, vs. COL
Butler has reached the sixth inning once in four starts and is struggling with walks issuing 13 in 18.1 innings.
Matt Cain (Giants) @MIL, vs. MIN
Cain has a 4.53 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, and a 3.77 BB/9.
Jesse Chavez (Angels) @DET, @HOU
Two difficult matchups and Chavez has allowed 14 home runs in 65.1 innings.
Bartolo Colon (Braves) vs. PHI, vs. NYM
Colon has a 6.99 ERA and 1.66 WHIP.
Mike Fiers (Astros) @KC, vs. LAA
Fiers has allowed 18 home runs in 52.2 innings and was going to be booted from the starting rotation if it wasn’t for injuries. He is coming off a good outing, and in deeper formats, you can consider him based on the matchups.
Ian Kennedy (Mariners) vs. HOU, @SD
Kennedy isn’t pitching well and has one awful matchup and a favorable on in San Diego against his former team. He has a 4.53 BB/9 and a 1.77 HR/9.
Jeff Locke (MIA) @CHC, @PIT
Locke made his season debut this past week and struck out seven while allowing three hits, no walks, and one earned run in 5.1 innings. Locke can have these good starts occasionally, but he has a career 4.39 ERA.
Hector Santiago (Twins) @SEA, @SF
After a 2.43 ERA in April, we see the real Santiago, who had a 6.89 ERA in May.
Antonio Senzatela (Rockies) vs. Indians, @CHC
Senzatela is 7-2 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.16 WHIP despite a 16.1 percent strikeout rate pitching in Coors Field. He’s keeping the ball on the ground and limiting the hard contact, so if you want to roll with him, I can see it. A start at home against a good Indians team is a concern.
Asher Wojciechowski (Reds) vs. STL, @LAD
He has a 6.66 ERA in 24.1 career innings.