- Gerrit Cole (PIT) @CIN, vs. MIL
- Johnny Cueto (SF) @LAD, @CIN
- Clayton Kershaw (LAD) vs. SF, @SD
- Corey Kluber (CLE) @DET, @KC
- Carlos Martinez (STL) vs. MIL, @ATL
- James Paxton (SEA) vs. LAA, vs. TEX
- Chris Sale (BOS) vs. BAL, @MIN
- Justin Verlander (DET) vs. CLE, @OAK
Bauer is always difficult to trust, but the matchups are appealing. Bauer has pitched better recently and has a 10.96 K/9 and a 2.74 BB/9. While he has a 6.26 ERA and 1.35 WHIP, a 1.96 HR/9 and 62.5 percent strand rate haven’t helped.
Bundy has been excellent with a 3-1 mark, 1.65 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and a 23:6 K:BB ratio in 32.2 innings. Bundy has been fortunate with an 89 percent strand rate, .264 BABIP, but he has a 22.6 percent hard hit rate and an 11 percent swinging strike rate should lead to more strikeouts. Bundy allowed three earned runs in 6.1 innings at Boston on April 11 and the Red Sox offense hasn’t been dominant.
Chen is not one of my favorite two-start pitchers. He does have good matchups, but he has been either really good or bad. He threw seven hitless innings and six innings with one earned run allowed in two starts and allowed 10 runs in eight innings in the two other starts.
Alex Cobb (TB) @MIA, vs. TOR
Cobb hasn’t been great, but he’s had tough matchups. I don’t feel great about him, but the matchups are favorable and in a league I have him he will be active.
Duffy has a 2.81 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, but his velocity is slightly down. He is getting a lot of swings and misses with a 13 percent swinging strike rate so the 6.75 K/9 should rise. Duffy has a 3.38 BB/9, but a 27.5 percent hard hit rate.
Estrada is 0-1 since the Blue Jays offense has struggled, but has pitched well with a 2.70 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and a 33:10 K:BB ratio in 30 innings.
It can be a risk taking a player coming off the disabled list, but Gray has favorable matchups and pitched well in rehab starts.
I have my concerns about Hamels as I wrote about in the stock watch. http://www.scout.com/fantasy/story/1774492-week-4-fantasy-baseball-stock… you have him it’s difficult to sit him with two starts for now.
Harvey is coming off an awful start in which he had no command, but reportedly worked out hard the previous day and was pushed up a day with Noah Syndergaard scratched. Harvey found out at 10 a.m. he was pitching in a 1 p.m. game. The 5.46 K/9 is a concern and he has a 1.82 K/9, but it will take him some time as he recovers from thoracic syndrome surgery.
Jon Lester (CHC) vs. PHI, vs. NYY
Lester is 0-1 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.43 WHIP, but his peripherals aren’t far off from last season. A 3.49 BABIP is playing a part.
McCullers has a 4.34 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, but has pitched better than those surface numbers and I would send trade offers now in case someone is worried. McCullers has an 11.17 K/9, 2.79 BB/9, 55.4 percent groundball rate, 22.1 percent hard hit rate and a 12 percent swinging strike rate.
Odorizzi is slated to return from the disabled list after being out with a hamstring injury. He has two solid matchups.
Porcello has been hurt by home runs. Four of those came in one game. He allowed two in the other four starts. The outing in which he allowed four home runs led to eight runs and it’s inflating his season stats. He has allowed three earned runs or less in the four other starts. He has a 4.75 ERA and 1.48 WHIP, but has a 9.49 K/9, 2.67 BB/9 and an 11.3 percent swinging strike rate.
Quintana is coming off two good starts, including 10 strikeouts in six innings against the Royals, who he gets again this week. Quintana has a 4.30 BB/9, and his career average is 2.37. Quintana has a 1.53 HR/9 and career average is 0.83. He will get better.
Roark is 3-0 with a 3.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. While he only has a 6.37 K/9, he has been a really good pitcher in two of the last three seasons and limits hard contact.
Severino has been one of the best pitchers so far. Some were worried about him going into Boston last week and he dominated, going seven scoreless innings while allowing three hits, two walks and six strikeouts in a win. Severino is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA, 0.78 WHIP and a 33:4 K:BB ratio in 27 innings. The Cubs matchup is tough, but Severino is rolling.
Shoemaker hasn’t been good with a 4.73 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. He has been hurt by a 3.71 BB/9 and a 2.03 HR/9. He has always showed good control and a 19.4 percent HR/FB ratio is above his career average of 11.7 percent. In the leagues I have Shoemaker, I am using him and expect him to improve.
Teheran has allowed two earned runs or less in four of five starts and the one he didn’t it was seven runs. Teheran has good career stats against the Mets and has allowed two earned runs in 12.1 innings against New York this season. Teheran isn’t getting hit hard but has to improve the 4.6 BB/9.
Anderson has a 3.54 ERA, but a 1.57 WHIP and 4.87 BB/9 and has pitched six innings once in four starts.
The 2.93 ERA is misleading. A 4.7 K/9 and 7.63 BB/9 shows the potential disaster.
I am intrigued by Cahill and would consider him in deep mixed leagues since he has two starts at home. He has an 11.25 K/9 and a 60.7 percent groundball rate. He pitched well in his one start at home against the Marlins.
A 3.77 K/9, 5.02 BB/9 and 1.88 HR/9. Need I say more?
Zach Davies (MIL) @STL, @PIT
Davies has yet to pitch six innings and relies on pinpoint control. It’s not there yet with a 4.01 BB/9.
R.A. Dickey (ATL) vs. NYM, vs. STL
Dickey is allowing too many home runs with a 1.52 HR/9.
It will be tough for Feldman to keep a 3.25 ERA with a 4.23 BB/9.
Fiers has allowed eight home runs in 19.1 innings.
He has walked 13 in 14.2 innings.
Hellickson has a 1.80 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, and a 3.3 K/9. He has a .196 BABIP and gets two of the better offenses.
I expect Gsellman to improve, but he has to find a way to do better in the first inning where his ERA is more than 20.
Nate Karns (KC) vs. CWS, vs. CLE
Karns has allowed six home runs in 23 innings.
Norris is struggling with a 4.71 BB/9.
Santiago has pitched well, but has had some good luck so far.
Velasquez is extremely erratic with a 5.06 BB/9 and it prevents him from going deep into games. Against two of the better offenses, he’s tough to trust.
Volquez has a 5.18 BB/9 and 1.68 WHIP.
Walker is coming off a dominant 11-strikeout performance, but that was against the Padres. The Nationals are one of the best offenses and pitching in Coors Field isn’t an ideal week.