Dr. Roto MLB DFS: Starting Pitcher Selection

Daily Dr. Roto—June 2, 2017

Tonight’s Starting Pitching – A Tough Decision

Have you looked at tonight’s MLB DFS pitching slate? In a year where pitchers have been getting hurt constantly, tonight’s starters represent some of the best that their teams have to offer. In fact, I cannot remember another night with a plethora of riches as I see on tonight’s slate. It’s kind of like a Las Vegas Buffet where it’s hard to choose just one item to eat. But let’s grab a plate and see what the best choices are…

  1. Dodgers SP Clayton Kershaw (FD $12.4, DK $13.1)
  2. Nationals SP Stephen Strasburg (FD $11.2, DK $12)
  3. Astros SP Dallas Keuchel (FD $10.3, DK $10.9)
  4. Rangers SP Yu Darvish (FD $9.9, DK $9.2)
  5. Tigers SP Michael Fulmer (FD $9.6, DK $8)
  6. Yankees SP Michael Pineda (FD $8.5, DK $8.8)
  7. Pirates SP Gerrit Cole (FD $8.7, DK $7.8)
  8. Rays SP Jake Odorizzi (FD $8.3, DK $7.5)
  9. Rockies SP German Marquez (FD $8.8, DK $7.2)

Kershaw got lit up in his last start, but do you think he will have two bad starts in a row? Moreover, Braun and Thames could be out of the lineup tonight for the Brewers and the Brew Crew struggles with strike outs. Better yet, Kershaw might be under owned after last week’s performance, so I need to be in on him.

http://www.scout.com/player/138527-stephen-strasburg?s=532

Strasburg gets the A’s on the road and faces the American League DH (which I hate), but the A’s love to swing and miss and I can’t picture Stras with fewer than double digit K’s. He’s in play for sure.

Keuchel has been unhittable virtually all season, but I worry about him pitching against Yu Darvish. Keuchel might pitch well and still not get the win.

I am probably fading Darvish for the same reason that I am fading Keuchel. I am worried that this will be a tough game and neither pitcher will get the win.

Michael Fulmer is flying under the radar tonight and the more I think about it, the more I like him. His opponent, the White Sox, have been terrible against RHPs and Fulmer’s been sharp all season. My biggest problem is that if I choose Fulmer, I am not choosing Kerhsaw and/or Strasburg which might turn out to be a fatal mistake.

Michael Pineda is always a threat to throw a complete game shutout with double digit Ks, but he can also implode and let up back to back home runs in consecutive innings. The Blue Jays are healthy again so that scares me. If I am this indecisive it can’t be a good thing, so I better fade.

Gerrit Cole’s last couple of starts have been horrific (he’s let up 20 hits in 10 IP), but he gets the struggling Mets who had to fire their mascot, Mr. Met this week for flipping the bird to a fan. The Mets are a wreck, but so is Cole. I will pass.

http://www.scout.com/player/155262-jake-odorizzi?s=532

Jake Odorizzi is an interesting call tonight, especially if Jean Segura and Nelson Cruz are out with injuries they suffered last night.  Odorizzi is especially enticing if I decide I want to pay for some expensive bats tonight, as his price is low enough to allow me to fit a bunch of good players in. Even better, West Coast games are normally lower owned that East Coast games since people want to watch the guys they start in DFS. I am in on Odorizzi.

German Marquez has pitched much better than anyone anticipated this year and gets to face the Padres who have struggled to hit for average all year. Another plus for Marquez is that the Padres SP is Clayton Richard who should get battered around by Arenado, Reynolds, and Desmond, so the win looks probable for Marquez.

Ok, I am now more confused than ever! I guess I will have to check Scout Fantasy’s MLB Optimizer closer to game time to see who it thinks I should choose. I see multiple lineups in my future this evening as this slate is too good to pass up!

Editor’s Note: As of 11:15 AM EST, Scout Fantasy’s MLB Optimizer recommends starting Kershaw and Rick Porcello. 

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